This week news came out that Richard Sherman's girlfriend might go into labor during the Super Bowl. He was asked what he would do, and rightfully he didn't give a straight answer. Earlier today I saw a post saying his girlfriend said he should play in the game. As a brand new dad, I can say without hesitation that there is no way he should play if his child is being born.
First off, how do you explain that to you kid later in life? "Sorry, son. Dad wasn't there because he was playing a football game." Granted, it's a huge game, but in the grand scheme of life, it's still a game. Not only that, but I'd assume Sherman will have more than one child, and chances are he'll be at those births. How is that going to make your firstborn child feel?
As a former athlete, I get the mindset. Not to toot my own horn but during my athletic career teams I was on won multiple Junior Olympic medals and played in 2 National Championship games, winning one of them. While those are amazing memories that I will never forget, they are nothing compared to the first time I held my daughter. People keep asking me what that experience was like and I'm truly at a loss for words. I realize some Jr. Olympic Medals and a National Championship pale in comparison to a Super Bowl, but I can't imagine anything being on the same level as being in the room when your first child is born. When my daughter was about 4 minutes old, getting all her measurements taken and crying, she grabbed my finger. It's a moment that absolutely rocked my world and something I will never forget. Even writing about it brings a tear to my eye. I wouldn't trade that for anything.
If Richard Sherman was playing in the last game of his career, or was the keystone player on his team, I could understand him wondering if he should play in the game. But all signs point to him having long career, and while he's very good, I highly doubt he'll be the difference maker tomorrow. Not that he couldn't be, I just don't see the defense struggling if he's not there.
Go ask Hunter Mahan about it. Back in 2013 he left a PGA event he was leading so he could be at the birth of his child. Had he stayed he likely would've won and pocketed a million dollars. The guy literally gave up a shot at a million dollars to be in the room when his daughter was born. That's how special this is.
So from a new dad to someone about to become a dad- Richard, if your son decides he wants to be born tomorrow, go to the hospital. You've won a Super Bowl, you know what that's like already. You have no idea how happy you'll be when your child is born. Plus, if you go and your team wins you'll be a hero. If you stay and they win you'll be the guy who missed his kid's birth because of a game. If you stay and they lose, you'll be vilified even more than you are now. If you go and they win, you'll be the inspirational hero. Do the right thing.
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Saturday, January 31, 2015
Friday, January 30, 2015
Super Bowl 49 Prop Bet Odds
As usual, RJ Bell of Pregame.com put together a fantastic list of prop bets and odds for the Super Bowl. He consistently provides the best and most thorough information in the sports betting industry. Here's what he sent out earlier today:
Super Bowl Props
MVP
($100 wins …)
Tom Brady +180
Russell Wilson +350
Marshawn Lynch +500
Rob Gronkowski +900
LeGarrette Blount +1500
Richard Sherman +3000
Julian Edelman +3000
Darrelle Revis +3800
Earl Thomas +4000
Player Stats
Passing Yards
Tom Brady: o/u 262.5 yards
Russell Wilson: o/u 221.5 yards
Rushing Yards
Seahawks: o/u 143.5 yards
Patriots: o/u 95.5 yards
Marshawn Lynch: o/u 91.5 yards
LeGarrette Blount: o/u 62.5 yards
Russell Wilson: o/u 43.5 yards
Receiving Yards
Rob Gronkowski: o/u 79.5 yards
Julian Edelman: o/u 68.5 yards
Doug Baldwin: o/u 54.5 yards
Brando LaFell: o/u 53.5 yards
Jermaine Kearse: o/u 42.5 yards
Luke Willson: o/u 32.5 yards
Shane Vereen: o/u 27.5 yards
Danny Amendola: o/u 23.5 yards
Longshots
+140 if Tom Brady does NOT throw an INT
+160 if there IS a Special Teams or Defensive TD
+220 if any quarter is scoreless
+250 if Patriots score in EVERY quarter
+250 if Darrelle Revis intercepts a pass
6/1 if Tom Brady throws 4 or more TD passes
6/1 if there’s a safety
6/1 if there’s a blocked punt
7/1 if game goes into OT
7/1 if Patriots win by more than 17 points
8/1 if ZERO turnovers in game
9/1 if there’s a kickoff return TD
9/1 if Tom Brady throws for 400+ passing yards
10/1 if an offensive lineman scores a TD
15/1 if Marshawn Lynch gains 150+ rushing yards
15/1 if either team wins by 37+ points
18/1 if Rob Gronkowski gains 150+ receiving yards
20/1 if first score of the game is a safety
20/1 if LaGarrette Blount gains 150+ rushing yards
20/1: ZERO sacks in game
30/1 if Russell Wilson throws for 350+ passing yards
40/1 if Revis has two or more INTs
40/1 if any fake punt gains First Down or a TD
100/1 if no TDs in game
Fun Props
Will Bill Belichick smile during the game on camera? +140 if YES
Will Al Michaels refer to odds at any point during telecast? +150 if YES
Will Marshawn Lynch “grab his crotch” after scoring TD? +400 if YES
Will Katy Perry be showing cleavage during halftime show? +500 if YES
What Color will Belichick’s hoodie be?
Grey: -150
Blue: +175
Red: +700
What Color Gatorade will be dumped on winning coach?
Orange +150
Clear +300
Yellow +400
Red +700
Blue +750
Purple +900
Green +1200
How many times will “Deflated” Balls be said during the game?
Over/Under 3 times
How many times will Gisele Bundchen be shown during game?
Over/Under 1.5 times
Cross-Sport Props
Will Dwayne Wade score more points Sunday OR Marshawn Lynch gain more receiving yards?
Will Sidney Crosby score more points or Russell Wilson throw more TD passes?
LeBron James points favored by 3.5 over Tom Brady Completions
Ten 50/50 Props (odds say either side of these props has exactly a 50% chance)
Great fun for radio hosts to battle or to print out and have party guests make picks.
(Odds over 1000/1 against getting all ten correct!)
Heads or Tails – Coin Toss
Over/Under: 2 minutes and 1 second for Idina Menzel to sing National Anthem?
Yes/No: Will the first Coach’s Challenge be overturned?
Yes/No: Will the game be tied again after 0-0?
Yes/No: Will every quarter have over 3.5 points of scoring?
Over/Under: 47.5 total points for the game
Over/Under: 44.5 yards for the game’s longest Field Goal
Over/Under: 44.5 yards for the game’s longest TD
Over/Under: 1.5 yards for game’s shortest TD
Over/Under: 14 points for largest lead by any team in game
Game Information
Patriots favored by 1 point over Seattle
Deflated football controversy has had NO EFFECT on the betting market
Only 5 prior Super Bowls have been so close that the spread was LESS THAN a field goal.
Vegas favorite has won 33 of 48 Super Bowls (69%)
Underdog 6-1 ATS in last 7 Super Bowls
Winner of turnover battle in Super Bowl history has won 36 of 39 games!
Game Trends:
(Patriots) NFL teams scoring 40+ points in the playoffs are on a 4-23 Against The Spread losing run their next game
Patriots 4-11 ATS their last 15 playoff games
Last 20 times Seattle an underdog, lost against the spread only THREE TIMES
Seattle: 34-15-1 ATS last 50 games overall
Seattle in December or later: 19-5-1 ATS (last four seasons)
Seattle: 20-7-1 ATS vs. teams with a winning record
ACTION
An estimated $10 BILLION is projected to be bet on Super Bowl XLIX worldwide!
Over HALF of adult Americans are expected to have some money at risk on the game.
Less than 1% of the total amount bet is expected to be wagered legally in Nevada.
90% of overall SB 49 action in Las Vegas will come from recreational (non-professional) bettors.
This is highest percentage of recreational bettors for any American sporting event.
Vegas Wins 92% of the Time!
Nevada has kept separate Super Bowl accounting for 24 years:
Vegas has won money (in net) 22 years, with bettors winning money only twice.
COIN TOSS
48 prior Super Bowls: exactly 24 heads; 24 tails!
NFC has won 15 of the last 17 coin tosses
Bettors favors Heads so much that some sportsbooks are actually making it cheaper to bet Tails in an effort to the even action.
--
[odds above are a consensus of multiple Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Bovada and sportsbook.ag the main source for many of the unusual props listed]
Here's what I like-
A bet on Gronk or Earl Thomas for MVP is just too enticing to pass up. Easily worth throwing $20 on. I love the Over on the mentions of "deflated balls" being 3. I think they'll pass that in the first quarter easily. I definitely think Katy Perry will be showing some cleavage, I mean, has anyone seen her perform? I'd be shocked if she didn't have the girls on display at least a little bit.
So there ya go. More Super Bowl props than you could ever begin to consider. Good luck this weekend, everyone. And if you hit it big, don't forget me.
And as always, a big thanks to RJ Bell for putting this all together. He is by far the best in the business.
Follow me on Twitter
Super Bowl Props
MVP
($100 wins …)
Tom Brady +180
Russell Wilson +350
Marshawn Lynch +500
Rob Gronkowski +900
LeGarrette Blount +1500
Richard Sherman +3000
Julian Edelman +3000
Darrelle Revis +3800
Earl Thomas +4000
Player Stats
Passing Yards
Tom Brady: o/u 262.5 yards
Russell Wilson: o/u 221.5 yards
Rushing Yards
Seahawks: o/u 143.5 yards
Patriots: o/u 95.5 yards
Marshawn Lynch: o/u 91.5 yards
LeGarrette Blount: o/u 62.5 yards
Russell Wilson: o/u 43.5 yards
Receiving Yards
Rob Gronkowski: o/u 79.5 yards
Julian Edelman: o/u 68.5 yards
Doug Baldwin: o/u 54.5 yards
Brando LaFell: o/u 53.5 yards
Jermaine Kearse: o/u 42.5 yards
Luke Willson: o/u 32.5 yards
Shane Vereen: o/u 27.5 yards
Danny Amendola: o/u 23.5 yards
Longshots
+140 if Tom Brady does NOT throw an INT
+160 if there IS a Special Teams or Defensive TD
+220 if any quarter is scoreless
+250 if Patriots score in EVERY quarter
+250 if Darrelle Revis intercepts a pass
6/1 if Tom Brady throws 4 or more TD passes
6/1 if there’s a safety
6/1 if there’s a blocked punt
7/1 if game goes into OT
7/1 if Patriots win by more than 17 points
8/1 if ZERO turnovers in game
9/1 if there’s a kickoff return TD
9/1 if Tom Brady throws for 400+ passing yards
10/1 if an offensive lineman scores a TD
15/1 if Marshawn Lynch gains 150+ rushing yards
15/1 if either team wins by 37+ points
18/1 if Rob Gronkowski gains 150+ receiving yards
20/1 if first score of the game is a safety
20/1 if LaGarrette Blount gains 150+ rushing yards
20/1: ZERO sacks in game
30/1 if Russell Wilson throws for 350+ passing yards
40/1 if Revis has two or more INTs
40/1 if any fake punt gains First Down or a TD
100/1 if no TDs in game
Fun Props
Will Bill Belichick smile during the game on camera? +140 if YES
Will Al Michaels refer to odds at any point during telecast? +150 if YES
Will Marshawn Lynch “grab his crotch” after scoring TD? +400 if YES
Will Katy Perry be showing cleavage during halftime show? +500 if YES
What Color will Belichick’s hoodie be?
Grey: -150
Blue: +175
Red: +700
What Color Gatorade will be dumped on winning coach?
Orange +150
Clear +300
Yellow +400
Red +700
Blue +750
Purple +900
Green +1200
How many times will “Deflated” Balls be said during the game?
Over/Under 3 times
How many times will Gisele Bundchen be shown during game?
Over/Under 1.5 times
Cross-Sport Props
Will Dwayne Wade score more points Sunday OR Marshawn Lynch gain more receiving yards?
Will Sidney Crosby score more points or Russell Wilson throw more TD passes?
LeBron James points favored by 3.5 over Tom Brady Completions
Ten 50/50 Props (odds say either side of these props has exactly a 50% chance)
Great fun for radio hosts to battle or to print out and have party guests make picks.
(Odds over 1000/1 against getting all ten correct!)
Heads or Tails – Coin Toss
Over/Under: 2 minutes and 1 second for Idina Menzel to sing National Anthem?
Yes/No: Will the first Coach’s Challenge be overturned?
Yes/No: Will the game be tied again after 0-0?
Yes/No: Will every quarter have over 3.5 points of scoring?
Over/Under: 47.5 total points for the game
Over/Under: 44.5 yards for the game’s longest Field Goal
Over/Under: 44.5 yards for the game’s longest TD
Over/Under: 1.5 yards for game’s shortest TD
Over/Under: 14 points for largest lead by any team in game
Game Information
Patriots favored by 1 point over Seattle
Deflated football controversy has had NO EFFECT on the betting market
Only 5 prior Super Bowls have been so close that the spread was LESS THAN a field goal.
Vegas favorite has won 33 of 48 Super Bowls (69%)
Underdog 6-1 ATS in last 7 Super Bowls
Winner of turnover battle in Super Bowl history has won 36 of 39 games!
Game Trends:
(Patriots) NFL teams scoring 40+ points in the playoffs are on a 4-23 Against The Spread losing run their next game
Patriots 4-11 ATS their last 15 playoff games
Last 20 times Seattle an underdog, lost against the spread only THREE TIMES
Seattle: 34-15-1 ATS last 50 games overall
Seattle in December or later: 19-5-1 ATS (last four seasons)
Seattle: 20-7-1 ATS vs. teams with a winning record
ACTION
An estimated $10 BILLION is projected to be bet on Super Bowl XLIX worldwide!
Over HALF of adult Americans are expected to have some money at risk on the game.
Less than 1% of the total amount bet is expected to be wagered legally in Nevada.
90% of overall SB 49 action in Las Vegas will come from recreational (non-professional) bettors.
This is highest percentage of recreational bettors for any American sporting event.
Vegas Wins 92% of the Time!
Nevada has kept separate Super Bowl accounting for 24 years:
Vegas has won money (in net) 22 years, with bettors winning money only twice.
COIN TOSS
48 prior Super Bowls: exactly 24 heads; 24 tails!
NFC has won 15 of the last 17 coin tosses
Bettors favors Heads so much that some sportsbooks are actually making it cheaper to bet Tails in an effort to the even action.
--
[odds above are a consensus of multiple Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Bovada and sportsbook.ag the main source for many of the unusual props listed]
Here's what I like-
A bet on Gronk or Earl Thomas for MVP is just too enticing to pass up. Easily worth throwing $20 on. I love the Over on the mentions of "deflated balls" being 3. I think they'll pass that in the first quarter easily. I definitely think Katy Perry will be showing some cleavage, I mean, has anyone seen her perform? I'd be shocked if she didn't have the girls on display at least a little bit.
So there ya go. More Super Bowl props than you could ever begin to consider. Good luck this weekend, everyone. And if you hit it big, don't forget me.
And as always, a big thanks to RJ Bell for putting this all together. He is by far the best in the business.
Follow me on Twitter
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