As usual, RJ Bell of Pregame.com put together a fantastic list of prop bets and odds for the Super Bowl. He consistently provides the best and most thorough information in the sports betting industry. Here's what he sent out earlier today:
Super Bowl Props
MVP
($100 wins …)
Tom Brady +180
Russell Wilson +350
Marshawn Lynch +500
Rob Gronkowski +900
LeGarrette Blount +1500
Richard Sherman +3000
Julian Edelman +3000
Darrelle Revis +3800
Earl Thomas +4000
Player Stats
Passing Yards
Tom Brady: o/u 262.5 yards
Russell Wilson: o/u 221.5 yards
Rushing Yards
Seahawks: o/u 143.5 yards
Patriots: o/u 95.5 yards
Marshawn Lynch: o/u 91.5 yards
LeGarrette Blount: o/u 62.5 yards
Russell Wilson: o/u 43.5 yards
Receiving Yards
Rob Gronkowski: o/u 79.5 yards
Julian Edelman: o/u 68.5 yards
Doug Baldwin: o/u 54.5 yards
Brando LaFell: o/u 53.5 yards
Jermaine Kearse: o/u 42.5 yards
Luke Willson: o/u 32.5 yards
Shane Vereen: o/u 27.5 yards
Danny Amendola: o/u 23.5 yards
Longshots
+140 if Tom Brady does NOT throw an INT
+160 if there IS a Special Teams or Defensive TD
+220 if any quarter is scoreless
+250 if Patriots score in EVERY quarter
+250 if Darrelle Revis intercepts a pass
6/1 if Tom Brady throws 4 or more TD passes
6/1 if there’s a safety
6/1 if there’s a blocked punt
7/1 if game goes into OT
7/1 if Patriots win by more than 17 points
8/1 if ZERO turnovers in game
9/1 if there’s a kickoff return TD
9/1 if Tom Brady throws for 400+ passing yards
10/1 if an offensive lineman scores a TD
15/1 if Marshawn Lynch gains 150+ rushing yards
15/1 if either team wins by 37+ points
18/1 if Rob Gronkowski gains 150+ receiving yards
20/1 if first score of the game is a safety
20/1 if LaGarrette Blount gains 150+ rushing yards
20/1: ZERO sacks in game
30/1 if Russell Wilson throws for 350+ passing yards
40/1 if Revis has two or more INTs
40/1 if any fake punt gains First Down or a TD
100/1 if no TDs in game
Fun Props
Will Bill Belichick smile during the game on camera? +140 if YES
Will Al Michaels refer to odds at any point during telecast? +150 if YES
Will Marshawn Lynch “grab his crotch” after scoring TD? +400 if YES
Will Katy Perry be showing cleavage during halftime show? +500 if YES
What Color will Belichick’s hoodie be?
Grey: -150
Blue: +175
Red: +700
What Color Gatorade will be dumped on winning coach?
Orange +150
Clear +300
Yellow +400
Red +700
Blue +750
Purple +900
Green +1200
How many times will “Deflated” Balls be said during the game?
Over/Under 3 times
How many times will Gisele Bundchen be shown during game?
Over/Under 1.5 times
Cross-Sport Props
Will Dwayne Wade score more points Sunday OR Marshawn Lynch gain more receiving yards?
Will Sidney Crosby score more points or Russell Wilson throw more TD passes?
LeBron James points favored by 3.5 over Tom Brady Completions
Ten 50/50 Props (odds say either side of these props has exactly a 50% chance)
Great fun for radio hosts to battle or to print out and have party guests make picks.
(Odds over 1000/1 against getting all ten correct!)
Heads or Tails – Coin Toss
Over/Under: 2 minutes and 1 second for Idina Menzel to sing National Anthem?
Yes/No: Will the first Coach’s Challenge be overturned?
Yes/No: Will the game be tied again after 0-0?
Yes/No: Will every quarter have over 3.5 points of scoring?
Over/Under: 47.5 total points for the game
Over/Under: 44.5 yards for the game’s longest Field Goal
Over/Under: 44.5 yards for the game’s longest TD
Over/Under: 1.5 yards for game’s shortest TD
Over/Under: 14 points for largest lead by any team in game
Game Information
Patriots favored by 1 point over Seattle
Deflated football controversy has had NO EFFECT on the betting market
Only 5 prior Super Bowls have been so close that the spread was LESS THAN a field goal.
Vegas favorite has won 33 of 48 Super Bowls (69%)
Underdog 6-1 ATS in last 7 Super Bowls
Winner of turnover battle in Super Bowl history has won 36 of 39 games!
Game Trends:
(Patriots) NFL teams scoring 40+ points in the playoffs are on a 4-23 Against The Spread losing run their next game
Patriots 4-11 ATS their last 15 playoff games
Last 20 times Seattle an underdog, lost against the spread only THREE TIMES
Seattle: 34-15-1 ATS last 50 games overall
Seattle in December or later: 19-5-1 ATS (last four seasons)
Seattle: 20-7-1 ATS vs. teams with a winning record
ACTION
An estimated $10 BILLION is projected to be bet on Super Bowl XLIX worldwide!
Over HALF of adult Americans are expected to have some money at risk on the game.
Less than 1% of the total amount bet is expected to be wagered legally in Nevada.
90% of overall SB 49 action in Las Vegas will come from recreational (non-professional) bettors.
This is highest percentage of recreational bettors for any American sporting event.
Vegas Wins 92% of the Time!
Nevada has kept separate Super Bowl accounting for 24 years:
Vegas has won money (in net) 22 years, with bettors winning money only twice.
COIN TOSS
48 prior Super Bowls: exactly 24 heads; 24 tails!
NFC has won 15 of the last 17 coin tosses
Bettors favors Heads so much that some sportsbooks are actually making it cheaper to bet Tails in an effort to the even action.
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[odds above are a consensus of multiple Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Bovada and sportsbook.ag the main source for many of the unusual props listed]
Here's what I like-
A bet on Gronk or Earl Thomas for MVP is just too enticing to pass up. Easily worth throwing $20 on. I love the Over on the mentions of "deflated balls" being 3. I think they'll pass that in the first quarter easily. I definitely think Katy Perry will be showing some cleavage, I mean, has anyone seen her perform? I'd be shocked if she didn't have the girls on display at least a little bit.
So there ya go. More Super Bowl props than you could ever begin to consider. Good luck this weekend, everyone. And if you hit it big, don't forget me.
And as always, a big thanks to RJ Bell for putting this all together. He is by far the best in the business.
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