Tuesday, April 9, 2013

Green Jacket Time

RJ Bell of Pregame.com just sent out his awesome rundown of odds for The Masters. Check it out, pretty interesting to see who the bookmakers think will win. Some cool prop bets too.


Masters Odds:

TIGER WOODS: 7/2 ($100 wins $350)
RORY McILROY: 12/1
PHIL MICKELSON: 15/1
JUSTIN ROSE: 22/1
LEE WESTWOOD: 25/1
KEEGAN BRADLEY: 25/1
LOUIS OOSTHUIZEN: 25/1
CHARL SCHWARTZEL: 25/1B
BRANDT SNEDEKER: 30/1
DUSTIN JOHNSON: 30/1
ADAM SCOTT: 32/1
MATT KUCHAR: 33/1
LUKE DONALD: 35/1
BUBBA WATSON: 35/1

Big-Name Long shots:

SERGIO GARCIA: 50/1
JIM FURYK: 66/1E
ERNIE ELS: 125/1
VIJAY SINGH: 150/1
FRED COUPLES: 150/1
TOM WATSON: 2000/1

Tiger Woods Props

Will Tiger Woods win Masters?
Yes: $100 wins $350 (22% chance)
No: $420 wins $100 (78% chance)

Will Tiger Woods OR Rory McIlroy win Masters?
Yes: $100 wins $250 (28% chance)
No: $300 wins $100 (72% chance)

Will Tiger Woods make the cut?
Yes: $1,400 wins $100 (91% chance)
No: $100 wins $1,000 (9% chance)

Lowest round by Tiger Woods: over/under 67.5

Highest round by Tiger Woods: over/under 72.5

Over/Under for Tiger Woods finish position: over/under 4.5 place

Will Tiger Woods win by 5 or more shots: $100 wins $1,200

Will Tiger Woods lead (or tie for lead) after all FOUR rounds: $100 wins $1,600

Will Tiger Woods have a hole-in-one? $100 wins $8,000

How many majors will Tiger Woods win in 2013?
Zero: $130 wins $100 (52% chance)
One: $100 wins $200 (31% chance)
Two: $100 wins $700 (11.5% chance)
Three: $100 wins $2,000 (4% chance)
Four: $100 wins $6,600 (1.5% chance)

General Props

Winning Score: over/under 275.5

What age will the winner be: over/under 34.5 years old

Lowest round, any golfer: over/under 65

Will any golfer have a hole-in-one: Exactly 50% chance!

Over/Under for Phil Mickelson finish position: over/under 10.5 place

Big-Name Match-ups

(best score wins between two golfers)

Tiger Woods ($190 wins $100)
vs
Rory McIlroy ($100 wins $170)

Tiger Woods ($190 wins $100)
vs
Phil Mickelson ($100 wins $170

Phil Mickelson ($110 wins $100)
vs.
Rory McIlroy ($110 wins $100)

(Odds are a consensus from multiple Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. LVH deserves mention for being especially creative with golf odds)

While I don't think Tiger is going to win, I do like those odds. He's playing well and he knows now is the time. Other than that I really like the Over for the lowest round at 65, and I definitely like Tiger to beat Phil. I'd like to pick someone to win the whole thing, but I just don't know. There have been way too many first-time winners over the past 2 years in majors for me to make a confident pick. But like I said, if someone gave me $100 to put on one guy, it's hard to ignore the decent payout for picking Tiger. If it was my money, I'd focus strictly on the prop bets. 

Again, big thanks must go out to RJ Bell of Pregame.com. He really is the best in the business when it comes to this stuff.

Follow me on Twitter- @TwittinSports

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